Sample Solution

MSTE-002 Solved Assignment 2025

  1. State whether the following statements are True or False. Give reasons in support of your answers.
    (a) The solution of a transportation problem with 5 rows (supplies) and 4 columns (destinations) is feasible if number of possible allocations are 8.
    (b) The moving averages of suitable period in a time-series are free from the influences of seasonal and cyclic variations.
    (c) If the basic solutions for a system of equations are ( 2 , 0 , 1 ) , ( 0 , 1 , 3 ) , ( 2 , 3 , 0 ) ( 2 , 0 , 1 ) , ( 0 , 1 , 3 ) , ( 2 , 3 , 0 ) (-2,0,1),(0,1,3),(-2,3,0)(-2,0,1),(0,1,3),(-2,3,0)(2,0,1),(0,1,3),(2,3,0), then only ( 0 , 1 , 3 ) ( 0 , 1 , 3 ) (0,1,3)(0,1,3)(0,1,3) is feasible.
    (d) In the stepwise selection method of multiple regression model, once a variable enters in the model then it always remains in the model.
    (e) An enterprise requires 1000 units per month. The ordering cost is estimated to be 50 per order. The purchase price is 20 per unit and the carrying cost per unit is 10 % 10 % 10%10 \%10% of it. Then the economic lot size to be ordered is 775 .
  2. Use the penalty ( Big M ) ( Big M ) (Big M)(\operatorname{Big} M)(BigM) method to solve the following LP problem:
Minimise Z = 5 x 1 + 3 x 2 Z = 5 x 1 + 3 x 2 Z=5x_(1)+3x_(2)Z=5 x_1+3 x_2Z=5x1+3x2
Subject to the constraints:
2 x 1 + 4 x 2 12 2 x 1 + 2 x 2 = 10 5 x 1 + 2 x 2 10 x 1 , x 2 0 . 2 x 1 + 4 x 2 12 2 x 1 + 2 x 2 = 10 5 x 1 + 2 x 2 10 x 1 , x 2 0 . {:[2x_(1)+4x_(2) <= 12],[2x_(1)+2x_(2)=10],[5x_(1)+2x_(2) >= 10],[x_(1)”,”x_(2) >= 0.]:}\begin{aligned} & 2 x_1+4 x_2 \leq 12 \\ & 2 x_1+2 x_2=10 \\ & 5 x_1+2 x_2 \geq 10 \\ & x_1, x_2 \geq 0 . \end{aligned}2x1+4x2122x1+2x2=105x1+2x210x1,x20.
  1. A company has three production facilities S 1 , S 2 S 1 , S 2 S_(1),S_(2)S_1, S_2S1,S2 and S 3 S 3 S_(3)S_3S3 with production capacity of 7,9 and 18 units (in 100 s ) per week of a product, respectively. These units are to be shipped to four warehouses D 1 , D 2 , D 3 D 1 , D 2 , D 3 D_(1),D_(2),D_(3)D_1, D_2, D_3D1,D2,D3 and D 4 D 4 D_(4)D_4D4 with requirement of 5, 6,7 and 14 units (in 100 s) per week, respectively. The transportation costs (in Rs) per unit between factories to warehouses are given in the table below:
D 1 D 1 D_(1)\mathrm{D}_1D1 D 2 D 2 D_(2)\mathrm{D}_2D2 D 3 D 3 D_(3)\mathrm{D}_3D3 D4 Capacity
S1 19 30 50 10 7
S 2 S 2 S_(2)\mathrm{S}_2S2 70 30 40 60 9
S 3 S 3 S_(3)\mathrm{S}_3S3 40 8 70 20 18
Demand 5 8 7 14 34
D_(1) D_(2) D_(3) D4 Capacity S1 19 30 50 10 7 S_(2) 70 30 40 60 9 S_(3) 40 8 70 20 18 Demand 5 8 7 14 34| | $\mathrm{D}_1$ | $\mathrm{D}_2$ | $\mathrm{D}_3$ | D4 | Capacity | | :— | :— | :— | :— | :— | :— | | S1 | 19 | 30 | 50 | 10 | 7 | | $\mathrm{S}_2$ | 70 | 30 | 40 | 60 | 9 | | $\mathrm{S}_3$ | 40 | 8 | 70 | 20 | 18 | | Demand | 5 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 34 |
Obtain optimal solution by the MODI method.
4. Four professors are capable of teaching any one of four different courses. Class preparation time in hours for different topics varies from professor to professor and is given in the table below:
Professor A B C D
Linear Programming 2 15 13 4
Queuing Theory 10 4 14 15
Transportation Problem 9 14 16 13
Regression Analysis 7 8 11 9
Professor A B C D Linear Programming 2 15 13 4 Queuing Theory 10 4 14 15 Transportation Problem 9 14 16 13 Regression Analysis 7 8 11 9| Professor | A | B | C | D | | :— | :— | :— | :— | :— | | Linear Programming | 2 | 15 | 13 | 4 | | Queuing Theory | 10 | 4 | 14 | 15 | | Transportation Problem | 9 | 14 | 16 | 13 | | Regression Analysis | 7 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
Each professor is assigned only one course. Determine an assignment schedule so as to minimise the total course preparation time for all courses.
5. In a railway marshalling yard, goods trains arrive at a rate of 36 trains per day. Assuming that the inter-arrival and service time distributions both follow exponential distribution with an average of 30 minutes, calculate the following:
(i) Traffic intensity
(ii) The mean queue length
(iii) Probability that the queue size exceeds
6. Using the graphical method to minimise the time required to process Job 1 and Job 2 on five machines A, B, C, D and E, find the minimum elapsed times an idle times to complete both jobs.
Job 1 Sequence A B C D E
Time (in hours) 1 2 3 5 4
Job 2 Sequence C A D E B
Time (in hours) 3 4 2 1 5
Job 1 Sequence A B C D E Time (in hours) 1 2 3 5 4 Job 2 Sequence C A D E B Time (in hours) 3 4 2 1 5| Job 1 | Sequence | A | B | C | D | E | | :— | :— | :— | :— | :— | :— | :— | | | Time (in hours) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | | Job 2 | Sequence | C | A | D | E | B | | | Time (in hours) | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
(8)
  1. A firm wants to know whether there is any linear relationship between the sales (X) and its yearly revenue (Y). The records for 10 years were examined and the following results were obtained:
X = 265 , Y = 27.73 , SS X = 285.6 , SS Y = 6.978 and SS X Y = 57.456 X = 265 , Y = 27.73 , SS X = 285.6 , SS Y = 6.978 and SS X Y = 57.456 sumX=265,sumY=27.73,SS_(X)=285.6,SS_(Y)=6.978″ and “SS_(XY)=57.456\sum \mathrm{X}=265, \sum \mathrm{Y}=27.73, \mathrm{SS}_{\mathrm{X}}=285.6, \mathrm{SS}_{\mathrm{Y}}=6.978 \text { and } \mathrm{SS}_{X Y}=57.456X=265,Y=27.73,SSX=285.6,SSY=6.978 and SSXY=57.456
(a) Fit a regression line taking Y as the dependent variable and X as the independent variable.
(b) Test whether the sales have any effect on revenue at 5 % 5 % 5%5 \%5% level of significance.
(c) Comment on the goodness of fit of the regression line.
8. A researcher is interested in developing a linear model for the electricity consumption of a household having an AC ( 1.5 AC ( 1.5 AC(1.5\mathrm{AC}(1.5AC(1.5 ton) so that she can predict the electricity consumption. For this purpose, she selects 25 houses and records the electricity consumption (in kWh ), size of house (in square feet) and AC hours for one month during summers. The results obtained are:
SS ( B 0 ) = 12526.08 , SS ( B 0 , B 1 ) = 17908.47 , SS ( B 0 , B 2 ) = 17125.23 , SS ( B 0 , B 1 , B 2 ) = 18079.0 , B ^ 0 = 22.38 , B ^ 1 = 1.6161 , B ^ 2 = 0.0144 , σ ^ 2 = 10.53 , SE ( B ^ 1 ) = 0.17 , and SE ( B ^ 2 ) = 0.0035 SS B 0 = 12526.08 , SS B 0 , B 1 = 17908.47 , SS B 0 , B 2 = 17125.23 , SS B 0 , B 1 , B 2 = 18079.0 , B ^ 0 = 22.38 , B ^ 1 = 1.6161 , B ^ 2 = 0.0144 , σ ^ 2 = 10.53 , SE B ^ 1 = 0.17 , and SE B ^ 2 = 0.0035 {:[SS(B_(0))=12526.08″,”SS(B_(0),B_(1))=17908.47″,”SS(B_(0),B_(2))=17125.23″,”SS(B_(0),B_(1),B_(2))=18079.0″,”],[ hat(B)_(0)=22.38″,” hat(B)_(1)=1.6161″,” hat(B)_(2)=0.0144″,” hat(sigma)^(2)=10.53″,”SE( hat(B)_(1))=0.17″,”” and “SE( hat(B)_(2))=0.0035]:}\begin{aligned} & \mathrm{SS}\left(\mathrm{~B}_0\right)=12526.08, \mathrm{SS}\left(\mathrm{~B}_0, \mathrm{~B}_1\right)=17908.47, \mathrm{SS}\left(\mathrm{~B}_0, \mathrm{~B}_2\right)=17125.23, \mathrm{SS}\left(\mathrm{~B}_0, \mathrm{~B}_1, \mathrm{~B}_2\right)=18079.0, \\ & \hat{\mathrm{~B}}_0=22.38, \hat{\mathrm{~B}}_1=1.6161, \hat{\mathrm{~B}}_2=0.0144, \hat{\sigma}^2=10.53, \mathrm{SE}\left(\hat{\mathrm{~B}}_1\right)=0.17, \text { and } \mathrm{SE}\left(\hat{\mathrm{~B}}_2\right)=0.0035 \end{aligned}SS( B0)=12526.08,SS( B0, B1)=17908.47,SS( B0, B2)=17125.23,SS( B0, B1, B2)=18079.0, B^0=22.38, B^1=1.6161, B^2=0.0144,σ^2=10.53,SE( B^1)=0.17, and SE( B^2)=0.0035
Build a regression model by selecting appropriate regressors in the model using the Stepwise Selection method.
(10)
9. The following table represents the sales (in thousands) of mobile sets of a shop for 16 quarters over four years:
Year Quarter
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2011 554 590 616 653
2012 472 501 521 552
2013 501 531 553 595
2014 403 448 460 480
Year Quarter Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2011 554 590 616 653 2012 472 501 521 552 2013 501 531 553 595 2014 403 448 460 480| Year | Quarter | | | | | :— | :— | :— | :— | :— | | | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | | 2011 | 554 | 590 | 616 | 653 | | 2012 | 472 | 501 | 521 | 552 | | 2013 | 501 | 531 | 553 | 595 | | 2014 | 403 | 448 | 460 | 480 |
(a) Compute the seasonal indices for four quarters by Simple average method.
(b) Obtain deseasonlised values.
(10)
10. Seven successive observations on a stationary time-series are as follows: 12 , 14 , 13 , 10 , 15 , 12 , 15 12 , 14 , 13 , 10 , 15 , 12 , 15 12,14,13,10,15,12,1512,14,13,10,15,12,1512,14,13,10,15,12,15
(a) Calculate auto-covariances C 0 , C 1 , C 2 , C 3 C 0 , C 1 , C 2 , C 3 C_(0),C_(1),C_(2),C_(3)\mathrm{C}_0, \mathrm{C}_1, \mathrm{C}_2, \mathrm{C}_3C0,C1,C2,C3 and C 4 C 4 C_(4)\mathrm{C}_4C4.
(b) Calculate auto-correlation coefficients r 1 , r 2 , r 3 r 1 , r 2 , r 3 r_(1),r_(2),r_(3)\mathrm{r}_1, \mathrm{r}_2, \mathrm{r}_3r1,r2,r3 and r 4 r 4 r_(4)\mathrm{r}_4r4.
(c) Plot the correlogram.

Solution:

Question:-1

State whether the following statements are True or False. Give reasons in support of your answers.

(a) The solution of a transportation problem with 5 rows (supplies) and 4 columns (destinations) is feasible if number of possible allocations are 8.
(b) The moving averages of suitable period in a time-series are free from the influences of seasonal and cyclic variations.
(c) If the basic solutions for a system of equations are ( 2 , 0 , 1 ) , ( 0 , 1 , 3 ) , ( 2 , 3 , 0 ) ( 2 , 0 , 1 ) , ( 0 , 1 , 3 ) , ( 2 , 3 , 0 ) (-2,0,1),(0,1,3),(-2,3,0)(-2,0,1),(0,1,3),(-2,3,0)(2,0,1),(0,1,3),(2,3,0), then only ( 0 , 1 , 3 ) ( 0 , 1 , 3 ) (0,1,3)(0,1,3)(0,1,3) is feasible.
(d) In the stepwise selection method of multiple regression model, once a variable enters in the model then it always remains in the model.
(e) An enterprise requires 1000 units per month. The ordering cost is estimated to be 50 per order. The purchase price is 20 per unit and the carrying cost per unit is 10 % 10 % 10%10 \%10% of it. Then the economic lot size to be ordered is 775.

Answer:

(a) The solution of a transportation problem with 5 rows (supplies) and 4 columns (destinations) is feasible if the number of possible allocations is 8.
  • False.
  • Justification: In a transportation problem with m m mmm rows (supplies) and n n nnn columns (destinations), a basic feasible solution requires exactly m + n 1 m + n 1 m+n-1m + n – 1m+n1 allocations (positive entries) to be feasible, assuming total supply equals total demand. Here, m = 5 m = 5 m=5m = 5m=5, n = 4 n = 4 n=4n = 4n=4, so m + n 1 = 5 + 4 1 = 8 m + n 1 = 5 + 4 1 = 8 m+n-1=5+4-1=8m + n – 1 = 5 + 4 – 1 = 8m+n1=5+41=8. However, the statement says "possible allocations are 8," which is ambiguous. Typically, a transportation problem with 5 rows and 4 columns has 5 × 4 = 20 5 × 4 = 20 5xx4=205 \times 4 = 205×4=20 possible allocations (cells). A feasible basic solution requires exactly 8 non-zero allocations, not that the total number of possible allocations is 8. Since the problem has 20 possible allocations, the statement is false unless misinterpreted.

(b) The moving averages of suitable period in a time-series are free from the influences of seasonal and cyclic variations.
  • True.
  • Justification: Moving averages smooth out short-term fluctuations in a time series. If the period of the moving average matches the length of the seasonal cycle (e.g., 12 months for yearly seasonality), it effectively removes seasonal variations by averaging over the cycle. Similarly, moving averages can dampen cyclic variations (longer-term oscillations) if the period is appropriately chosen, as they focus on the trend component. Thus, with a suitable period, moving averages eliminate seasonal and cyclic influences, leaving the trend.

(c) If the basic solutions for a system of equations are ( 2 , 0 , 1 ) ( 2 , 0 , 1 ) (-2,0,1)(-2,0,1)(2,0,1), ( 0 , 1 , 3 ) ( 0 , 1 , 3 ) (0,1,3)(0,1,3)(0,1,3), ( 0 , 3 , 0 ) ( 0 , 3 , 0 ) (0,3,0)(0,3,0)(0,3,0), then only ( 0 , 1 , 3 ) ( 0 , 1 , 3 ) (0,1,3)(0,1,3)(0,1,3) is feasible.
  • False.
  • Justification: For a solution to be feasible in a linear programming context, it must satisfy all constraints, including non-negativity (if applicable). The statement claims only ( 0 , 1 , 3 ) ( 0 , 1 , 3 ) (0,1,3)(0,1,3)(0,1,3) is feasible among the given basic solutions. However, without the specific system of equations or constraints, we assume a typical linear programming problem where variables are non-negative ( x 1 , x 2 , x 3 0 x 1 , x 2 , x 3 0 x_(1),x_(2),x_(3) >= 0x_1, x_2, x_3 \geq 0x1,x2,x30).
    • ( 2 , 0 , 1 ) ( 2 , 0 , 1 ) (-2,0,1)(-2,0,1)(2,0,1): Contains a negative value ( 2 2 -2-22), so it is not feasible if non-negativity is required.
    • ( 0 , 1 , 3 ) ( 0 , 1 , 3 ) (0,1,3)(0,1,3)(0,1,3): All components are non-negative, so it is feasible if it satisfies the system’s constraints.
    • ( 0 , 3 , 0 ) ( 0 , 3 , 0 ) (0,3,0)(0,3,0)(0,3,0): All components are non-negative, so it is also feasible if it satisfies the constraints.
      Since ( 0 , 3 , 0 ) ( 0 , 3 , 0 ) (0,3,0)(0,3,0)(0,3,0) is non-negative and a basic solution, it could be feasible unless additional constraints exclude it. The claim that only ( 0 , 1 , 3 ) ( 0 , 1 , 3 ) (0,1,3)(0,1,3)(0,1,3) is feasible is false, as ( 0 , 3 , 0 ) ( 0 , 3 , 0 ) (0,3,0)(0,3,0)(0,3,0) may also be feasible without specific constraints ruling it out.

(d) In the stepwise selection method of multiple regression model, once a variable enters in the model, it always remains in the model.
  • False.
  • Justification: In stepwise regression (specifically, stepwise selection or backward elimination with re-evaluation), variables can be added or removed based on statistical criteria (e.g., p-values or AIC). In forward stepwise selection, a variable may enter the model but can be removed later if it becomes insignificant after adding other variables. For example, if variable X 1 X 1 X_(1)X_1X1 is added early but later has a high p-value due to correlation with a newly added variable, it may be dropped. Thus, variables do not always remain in the model.

(e) An enterprise requires 1000 units per month. The ordering cost is estimated to be 50 per order. The purchase price is 20 per unit, and the carrying cost per unit is 10 % 10 % 10%10\%10% of it. Then the economic lot size to be ordered is 775.
  • True.
  • Justification: The economic order quantity (EOQ) is calculated using the formula:
    Q = 2 D S H Q = 2 D S H Q=sqrt((2DS)/(H))Q = \sqrt{\frac{2DS}{H}}Q=2DSH
    where:
    • D = 1000 × 12 = 12 , 000 D = 1000 × 12 = 12 , 000 D=1000 xx12=12,000D = 1000 \times 12 = 12,000D=1000×12=12,000 units/year (annual demand, assuming monthly demand is converted),
    • S = 50 S = 50 S=50S = 50S=50 (ordering cost per order),
    • H = 10 % × 20 = 2 H = 10 % × 20 = 2 H=10%xx20=2H = 10\% \times 20 = 2H=10%×20=2 (carrying cost per unit per year, as 10% of the purchase price).
    Plugging in:
    Q = 2 × 12 , 000 × 50 2 = 1 , 200 , 000 2 = 600 , 000 774.6 Q = 2 × 12 , 000 × 50 2 = 1 , 200 , 000 2 = 600 , 000 774.6 Q=sqrt((2xx12,000 xx50)/(2))=sqrt((1,200,000)/(2))=sqrt(600,000)~~774.6Q = \sqrt{\frac{2 \times 12,000 \times 50}{2}} = \sqrt{\frac{1,200,000}{2}} = \sqrt{600,000} \approx 774.6Q=2×12,000×502=1,200,0002=600,000774.6
    Rounding to the nearest integer, Q 775 Q 775 Q~~775Q \approx 775Q775.


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